Coming up short: Padres were a good team, but couldn't overcome obstacles
By: DAN HAYES - Staff Writer | ∞
Following Monday's season-ending loss at Colorado, Bud Black emphasized that the 2007 Padres were a true "team." The first-year manager spoke about the leadership his veterans provided and how the unit worked together to keep the Padres in the chase for the postseason until the last day of regular season.
General manager Kevin Towers felt this was the best team he's fielded since the Qualcomm Years as the Padres won 89 games. The win total was one more than last year's National League West division champions and the most by the Padres since they won the NL pennant in 1998.
"I think this was by far our best club since we moved into Petco Park," Towers said. "Our guys battled all year. It was a talented and fun team to be around."
What Towers and Black didn't say was that this team produced more than it should have.
When you look at the poor offensive numbers, injuries to several key players, and the partial overhaul of the roster at midseason, it's a wonder the Padres stayed in the race until the final day of the season.
That effort was a testament to a stout bullpen and Black's ability to keep his players on the same page. Ultimately, however, it was a team that came up one win short of its third straight playoff appearance.
The good
Without question, the bullpen was the glue that held the Padres together. Heath Bell struck out 102 batters, posted a 2.02 ERA and was the team's Superman.
Trevor Hoffman had 42 saves, and though he had a bad final week, provided the Padres with stability in the ninth again.
A year after he had an angioplasty, Doug Brocail appeared in 67 games and finished 5-1 with a 3.05 ERA. Joe Thatcher, who was acquired in the Scott Linebrink trade, was 2-2 with a 1.97 ERA. And Justin Hampson, claimed off waivers, had a 2.70 ERA.
While the bullpen was great, Jake Peavy was simply outstanding.
Never mind his final start; Peavy was a Cy Young candidate through and through as the Padres were 23-11 in his starts.
Part of Peavy's success can be attributed to the veteran presence of Greg Maddux, who was signed to a two-year deal last offseason. Maddux was splendid down the stretch and his importance ---- with 198 innings pitched, 14 wins and a sheer presence that can't be quantified ---- was massive.
And though he was never the same after oblique and back injuries, Chris Young's outings through late July made postseason success seem likely. Before he was hurt, Young was 8-3 with a 2.00 ERA.
Another key component to the Padres' success was Towers' trades for Thatcher, Milton Bradley and Scott Hairston.
Bradley came here with a poor reputation, but while he was on the field, he was everything the Padres asked for and more. His season ended on a bad note, however, when he was injured after umpire Mike Winters started a confrontation on the second to last Sunday of the year.
Bradley's influence showed most in August when the Padres had their second highest monthly home run total in club history. The switch-hitting outfielder provided a veteran presence and a sense of confidence to the team's trio of developing young hitters, Adrian Gonzalez, Khalil Greene and Kevin Kouzmanoff.
All three made considerable strides this season as Gonzalez became a legitimate cleanup hitter, Greene showed his clutch capabilities in September, and Kouzmanoff overcame a horrid start to add another stick to the lineup.
Another plus was Brian Giles' ability to adapt to the leadoff spot, a move that utilized the veteran outfielder's strength of getting on base.
The bad
Last offseason the Padres signed a pair of aging veterans in Maddux and David Wells while depending on Clay Hensley, who was a starter for most of 2006, to eat up a lot of innings.
But in May, Hensley was injured and he never fully recovered meaning rookie Justin Germano had to eat up innings out of the fifth spot.
While Germano stormed out to a 5-0 start, the league eventually caught up with him and he was removed during the stretch run. Meanwhile, Wells showed his age.
The shortage of innings produced by the Padres' starters ---- only Peavy had more than 200 ---- was magnified when Young was injured on July 24.
Following the tall Texan's injury, Padres starters not named Maddux and Peavy were 5-16 with a 6.80 ERA in 184 innings in 34 starts.
Young ---- who didn't win after July 19 ---- Wells, Germano, Jack Cassel and Brett Tomko produced only 10 quality starts over that stretch while Peavy and Maddux were 17-5 with a 3.26 ERA with 20 quality starts in 30 outings.
A lack of starting stability forced the Padres to turn to their bullpen far too much.
The relievers' 549 innings pitched was the third most in the NL behind Washington (590 2/3) and Florida (586 2/3).
And whereas the Padres' offense was fifth in doubles and seventh in home runs, it was only ninth in runs and fell to atrocious levels in batting average (15th), on-base percentage (14th) and stolen bases (16th).
That cost them in one-run games ---- a stat they should have dominated. They were 23-26 while Arizona was 32-20.
Just plain ugly
One of the keys to the Padres' 2006 NL West title run was their ability to produce off the bench. Last year the Padres' pinch-hitters raked at a .260 clip with eight home runs and 33 RBIs. This year's bench hit .188 with three homers and 26 RBIs.
One key component to 2006's bench, Geoff Blum, became a starter when Marcus Giles' slumped and was injured. Instead of having Blum off the bench ---- where he hit .387 in 2006 ---- he was a fixture in the lineup.
Towers tried to upgrade the Padres' bench with a series of midseason trades as he brought in Michael Barrett, Morgan Ensberg, Rob Mackowiak and Hairston.
And while Hairston had eight homers, he was forced into the lineup when Bradley went down, weakening the bench.
Because of injuries, neither Ensberg or Barrett had the impact Towers was hoping for.
Ensberg hit .224 with four home runs, but was sidelined by a back injury for two weeks in August. Barrett was out for several weeks with concussion-like symptoms and hit .244 with no homers and 12 RBIs in 44 games.
And Mackowiak, who suffered a double sports hernia, hit .196.
The Padres were also hurt by their inability to hit behind the runner and get guys over, a point exemplified by the team's 1,229 strikeouts ---- the second most in the NL.
Center fielder Mike Cameron, who started 68 games hitting in the second and third spots in the order, struck out 160 times, Gonzalez whiffed 140 times, and Greene, who had a .291 on-base percentage, struck out 128 times.
Opening Day leadoff hitter Marcus Giles struck out 82 times in 464 plate appearances and Kouzmanoff struck out 94 times. Only leadoff man Brian Giles had more walks (64) than strikeouts (61).
And you can't overlook the team's problems in throwing out would-be base stealers as 189 of 209 thieves were successful against the Padres.
Contact staff writer Dan Hayes at dhayes@nctimes.com.
Three things the Padres must do this offseason
1. Keep Greg Maddux and add a strong arm to the rotation.
The Padres need Maddux's presence ---- he has a $9 million option and the Padres have an $11 million team option ---- but they also need a fourth pitcher ---- to go along with Jake Peavy, Chris Young and Maddux ---- to reach 200-plus innings in order to take pressure off the bullpen.
2. Build a better bench
Padres pinch-hitters hit 72 points lower than they did when they won the National League West in 2006. This team needs major-league talent on the bench to succeed.
3. Upgrade the offense
The 2007 squad never got the production it needed in the second spot in the lineup and only got what it needed out of the third spot when Milton Bradley was available.
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Obstacles? wrote on Oct 5, 2007 7:13 AM:The Padres could not overcome "obstacles" like hitting and baserunning. If it were not for the fabulous pitching, this would have been a last place team with the everyday players that Towers put on the field. If this is the best the Padres can do, then it is time for some changes at the top, starting with Towers.-
BigWave wrote on Oct 5, 2007 8:42 AM:Obstacles? - Horrible commentary. Towers does a great job with the resources we have. Also, the young talent that Greene, Gonzalez and Kouz provide is a great nucleus for the team to build around...I only trust Towers to get the job done.
American-Irish Resident wrote on Oct 5, 2007 9:40 AM:The Padres just released defensive clown Brady Clark. The Padres should now release Mackowiak, Ensberg, Tomko, Marcus Giles, Trevor Hoffman, Barrett, the weak 240 hitting Mike Cameron, and the marginal Kevin Cameron. The stellar Heath "Hells" Bell is the new Hoffman and the saved cash can pay for real baseball players like Rowand. Milton Bradley staying at PETCO could be a plus if his salary was lowered. If not the Padres will be in the Rockies rear view mirror for the next decade.'
hungster-in-Esc wrote on Oct 5, 2007 1:02 PM:Going thru trash bins to recycle discarded players and hanging on to players who are way beyond prime are not a good recipe for championship teams. By not believing in building thru draft and farm system, the team has permanently condemned despairs upon the faithful fan, this writer included. On the other hand, being competitive they will continue to be, since second and third chanced players would expend their energy to make the most out of the precious second or third chance. But when the season is on the line, like the recentl three consecutive chances to clinch the wildcard spot, they just have nothing left. There are few conditionally good spots. Peavy could have been a perennial 20 game winner with a little better offensive support (but he needs to control his emotion and avoid early high pitch count). Khaleel has excellent numbers for a shortstop, but I wish if he can learn how to hit single to just move runners, instead of the mightly swings trying to hit it out, and if he can make contact with curved and offspeed pitches. With a amicable local press and linient fan base, and without worrying about building a new stadium, there is no reason to the Padres to change their MO or to spend wisely on true impact players. Next year would be the same, good enough to contend but not enough to do anything else.-
Papi wrote on Oct 5, 2007 4:16 PM:the better team won, Pad fans. Get over it. Rockies won 13 of 14 heading in, while the Madres tried to back into the playoffs by losing two in a row and getting swept in their final home stand by.. let's see... oh yeah, the ROCKIES. Based on that, who's more deserving of the playoffs? It shouldn't have even come down to a one-game playoff. The Rockies already established themselves as a much better team, and franchise for that matter.
usanaman wrote on Oct 6, 2007 10:06 AM:let the purging of of the 07 pads begin. players to be let go both giles, cameron, ensberg, Mackowiak, Tomko, Trevor Hoffman, Barrett, Kevin Cameron.and most of all head case bradley,time for these guys is up. youth should be employeed now, look at az and col, they have speed and hitters and are going with there young guys into the playoffs. but not the pads with have to have retreads that can't hit,throw or run!!!!!!!!!!!! but you say what about the pitching, well it sure can't score runs!!!!!!!! since moores isn't going to pay peavy lets trade him for a big bat that is not a head case and some pitching prospects and outfielders, with speed, arms and bats. guys that can move runners along and not strike out 200 times a year. since moores is such a cheap scape, then youth is where he can get more players much cheaper. we also need to get a sports psychologist for these guys. maybe then they could understand how to play better and not play worst than some little leaguer.
SDSpotlight wrote on Oct 6, 2007 12:03 PM:Amazing how authoritative people can sound while making zero sense. Example: The listing above of players to be "released", which includes multiple free agents whom the Padres will receive draft choices for when they sign with other teams. Oh, and a future Hall of Famer who any other team in the division would love to have. If Hensley's health was truly the problem, we have our fourth pitcher.That does not mean we should not explore upgrades. Of course we should. We also need a second baseman until Matt Antonelli is ready and we will need to replace Atlanta-bound Mike Cameron. We need a room addition here; we do not need to tear down the house and rebuild.
Aamrican-Irish Resident wrote on Oct 7, 2007 7:50 AM:"Release" as defined here is a word that is tantamount to Kevin Towers "refraining from offering a contract to one of these high paid players that cannot hit." There is no gain if the Padres receive draft picks as none of the Padres picks short of Khalil Greens can make it to the MLB level. Two high draft pick pitchers are down for 2008 due to surgery and Towers will not deal with Boras so he makes foolish decisions such as the Matt Bush situation. I hope they re-build now as it will not be long and Brian Giles will be 40 yrs old. My 2008 wish includes not offering Mike Cameron a contract.
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