State to re-assess hospitals' vulnerability to quakes
By: ANDREA MOSS - Staff Writer
The state agency responsible for determining which hospitals are most vulnerable to earthquakes got the OK Wednesday to use a new computer modeling program to re-evaluate buildings previously given "high-risk" labels.
The California Building Standards Commission's 7-0 decision to allow the use of the HAZUS program is expected to lead to hundreds of California hospital buildings being moved to lower risk categories.
Office of Statewide Hospital Planning and Development spokesman Pat Sullivan said tests run using data already submitted by a small pool of hospitals suggests 50 percent to 60 percent of the roughly 1,100 buildings labeled high risk could end up being reclassified under the new program.
Reclassified buildings' owners will get an extra 23 years to comply with a state mandate that high-risk structures be upgraded or replaced with earthquake-proof ones. Structures that retain their high-risk status will still have to meet a 2013 deadline.
The California Hospital Association quickly praised the commission's decision, saying it will help preserve patients' access to health care.
"We all want our local community hospitals to be able to withstand and remain operational following a major earthquake," association President C. Duane Dauner said in a news statement. "By implementing the new HAZUS methodology, resources can be directed towards ensuring that the most vulnerable buildings are addressed first."
Officials at North County and Riverside County hospitals have been grappling with the question of how they would comply with the state mandate. They had mixed reactions to the commission's decision.
Palomar Pomerado Health Chief Executive Officer Michael Covert, whose public hospital district runs Palomar Medical Center in Escondido and Pomerado Hospital in Poway, welcomed the news.
"It's going to give lots of hospitals around the state opportunities to do a better job of meeting those time frames, 'cause I know a lot of them couldn't," he said.
Julie Lee, spokeswoman for Scripps Memorial Hospital Encinitas, said the change was unlikely to help her hospital or other Scripps facilities in the San Diego area because it has so many fault lines.
Jeff Segall, spokesman for Tri-City Medical Center in Oceanside joined Teresa Fleege, spokeswoman for Rancho Springs Medical Center in Murrietta and Inland Valley Medical Center in Wildomar, in saying officials at their hospitals need more time to figure out exactly how the commission's decision might affect those facilities.
The California Hospital Association had supported the Office of Statewide Health Planning and Development's request for permission to use HAZUS to re-evaluate hospital buildings' seismic vulnerability.
Developed by the Federal Emergency Management Agency, the program is more accurate than others because it takes into account the type of soil a structure stands on, its proximity to major fault lines and other factors not considered when state officials made their original assessments.
Those were done after state legislators beefed up the earthquake standards for hospitals following the 1994 Northridge earthquake. Roughly 40 percent of hospital buildings in the state, or about 1,100, got the "high risk" classification.
Many hospitals had trouble meeting an original 2008 deadline for meeting the state mandate, with lack of money being a major roadblock. The state eventually extended the deadline to 2013 for hospitals that could show they were making progress toward meeting the mandate.
Tri-City Medical Center in Oceanside and Palomar Pomerado each have cited the deadlines in campaigns for the passage of large construction and renovation bonds. Voters approved a $496 million bond for Palomar Pomerado in November 2004.
Two different Tri-City bond measures failed at the ballot box, though. Officials at the district are considering whether to make a third try.
John A. Martin Jr., a structural engineer whose firm is working with Tri-City on its renovation plans, told the North County Times last month that the hospital's north wing is among those likely to be moved to a lower-risk category. Two other Tri-City buildings, which Segall identified Wednesday as the center and south structures, probably will stay on the high risk list, Martin said.
Segall said that while he does not dispute the engineer's assessment, the prevalence of fault lines in San Diego County means Tri-City will continue to face significant earthquake risks.
"The point is you never know where and when that one big earthquake is going to be," he said.
Palomar Pomerado is preparing to break ground on a new hospital that was sold to the public as being more economical than trying to upgrade two Palomar Medical Center towers rated as extremely vulnerable to earthquakes. Covert said Wednesday architects have told him the towers also are likely to be reclassified.
Still, he said, "I don't think it will change our time frame in terms of (construction) activity."
-- Staff writer Paul Sisson contributed to this story. Contact staff writer Andrea Moss at (760) 739-6654 or amoss@nctimes.com.
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Is The Downtown Hospital Saved? wrote on Nov 15, 2007 7:45 AM:One tower of the downtown hospital was build in 1988 and already complies with the structural seismic regulations (category 3). The other tower, the McLeod tower, was built in 1968, and only needs minimal retrofitting to comply. In 1999, the estimate was $7 million to retrofit the McLeod tower. Now this software apparently indicates that it will take $0 to keep the McLeod tower in operation for the next 2 to 3 decades!
Will PPH Save Money? wrote on Nov 15, 2007 8:32 AM:No. PPH will still attempt to build the HOSPITAL OF THE FUTURE no matter the cost.
More smoke wrote on Nov 15, 2007 9:12 AM:PPH was well aware that the seismic issue was just smoke. They just wanted the extra Prop BB funds for their latest project, which helps developers and Kaiser. Taxpayers are paying the bill for a plan that will waste money and degrade services for most of Escondido, Valley Center and other inland areas. This new action by the state is designed to help hospitals save money but it will not save PPH district taxpayers a penney.
Billy: wrote on Nov 15, 2007 9:23 AM: We ain't had none in awhile. Twenty three years seems a long time - perhaps they will have to be rebuilt in that amount of time? North San Diego county seems to be moderately safe in the evaluation of where the next one will hit? I remember an article written about 25 years ago, that stated that it has been determined that San Marcos is the city most like to NOT be hit by an earthquake. Since then the Rose Canyon and Lake Elsinore faults have been upgraded. And I have learned that most damage will occur about 60 miles from a large quake. That is the distance San Marcos is from the San Andreas Fault. But for awhile there I would come across that article and mentally I clung to it feeling good that I was in the safest place in North County earthquake-wise. Now reality has set in and I find comfort in the fact that we do not have hurricane season to deal with. and then, what was the highest of winds and the lowest of humidities causing the Wildfires of 2007? What the heck is a guy to do but keep your insurance up, keep the vegetation cut way back from your house, and make sure you have food and emergency equipment on hand. And for the love of Pete, be safe in that and don't inventory every night before you go to bed - I swear I am not going to do that any more - no matter what anybody says.
Earthquake fake-out wrote on Nov 15, 2007 9:26 AM:This shows that meeting earthquake standards was simply a ruse to move the hospital out of downtown and build something new elsewhere. Notice how quickly they acted with the opportunity to pass Prop BB! When your motives are suspect, the entire project is in jeopardy. Now the entire project is overbudget and downtown will be left in the dust. This change won't deter the PPH board in the least.
Ground Already Broken! wrote on Nov 15, 2007 9:50 AM:PPH has already broken ground in the ERTC! There is a big pile of dirt about 60 feet high, and an enormous 20 foot deep excavation for the basement of the new hospital. The NCTimes appears totally and absolutely clueless!
Ground Zero wrote on Nov 15, 2007 12:58 PM:I lived about 40 miles from the Northridge earthquake. No damage. A co-worker lived in Northridge. Much damage. Billy has incorrect information. Damage occurs where the shaking is strongest, or soil fails. Risk maps are available ...
Billy: wrote on Nov 15, 2007 2:46 PM: Study up Ground Zero - there have been more quakes than Northridge and i didn't say "all damage."
Ground Zero wrote on Nov 15, 2007 7:48 PM:Pretty tricky Billy. If an earthquake strikes in the middle of the wilderness, and a bottle falls off a shelf in a city 60 miles away, then most of the 'damage' occurs 60 miles away. Name one earthquake in California where a hospital 60 miles from the epicenter of an earthquake suffered structural failure. The VA hospital in Sylmar is an example of a hospital failure near ground zero of the Sylmar earthquake, and several hospitals, particularly St. John's hospital in Santa Monica, is an example from the Northridge earthquake. A major problem is amplification of shaking in sedimentary basins. Since Palomar Medical Center sits on a site of solid rock, and is many, many miles from a fault, it has a lower risk of collapse than, for example, an hospital in the northern San Bernardino Valley (a sedimentary basin bordered on the north by the potent San Andreas fault). The Hazus software is able to process such parameters and give an assessment of the risk of collapse that is more accurate than the current process.
Tax Burden wrote on Nov 15, 2007 7:49 PM:In a rush, PPH sold $250,000,000 in bonds yesterday that are to be repaid by property taxes. The proceeds are to be used to build the new hospital that may not be needed for two decades! Is that not worthy of mention?
Jasper wrote on Dec 8, 2007 10:52 AM:They still need the new space for increasing numbers of patients and to accomodate new and expanding types of services.
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